NHL · True win probabilities
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0Value bets
True probability
The average of Polymarket's and Kalshi's live moneyline prices for each team, with each market's spread removed so both sides add up to 100%. Includes overtime and shootout.
Breakeven odds
The price where a bet has zero expected value: 1 ÷ probability. Anything longer than this is +EV.
When to bet
Type the odds you're offered into a card. It turns BET when the price beats breakeven by at least your minimum edge.